National average daily production of crude oil and condensates fell to 1.58 million barrels per day (bpd) in September 2025, according to the latest data from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC).

The regulatory body attributed the 3.09% month-on-month drop from August’s 1.63 million bpd to a combination of a three-day strike by the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN) and scheduled maintenance at two key export facilities.

Despite the monthly decline, the commission highlighted a slight year-on-year improvement, with production up 1.61% from the 1.55 million bpd recorded in September 2024.

Production Breakdown and Performance

The detailed report, released by NUPRC’s Head of Media and Strategic Communication, Eniola Akinkoutu, showed that September’s total production comprised:

· 1.39 million bpd of crude oil
· 191,373 bpd of condensates

This combined figure of 1.58 million bpd meant Nigeria achieved 93% of its crude oil production quota of 1.5 million bpd set by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). The data also revealed significant daily fluctuations, with peak combined production hitting 1.81 million bpd and the lowest daily output falling to 1.35 million bpd.

Top Contributing Oil Streams

An analysis of the top eight production streams for September showed:

1. Forcados Blend: 15.86%

2. Bonny Light: 13.31%

3. Qua Iboe: 9.88%

4. Escravos Light: 8.96%

5. Bonga Crude: 6.83%

6. Agbami Condensate: 4.94%

7. Erha Crude: 4.55%

8. Amenam Blend: 4.2%

Background on September’s Disruption

The production dip was partly linked to industrial action by PENGASSAN, which began on September 28. The union initiated a nationwide strike in protest of the dismissal of over 800 workers by the Dangote Refinery.

The Dangote Group confirmed a “reorganisation exercise” affecting a “small number” of staff. Following intervention by the federal government, the company agreed to redeploy the workers who had been laid off.